Truechess.com Compares the Champions
Who was the greatest chess player of all time?
              
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The Project
For 24 hours a day for 15 months (from February 2007 through May 2008), 12 computing threads (on three Intel quad-core Q6600 computers running at 3.0 GHz)
analyzed the games of the World Champions.
Entire playing careers were analyzed
-- for example, 69,084 positions from 2318 games were analyzed for just one player (Smyslov).
In all, 617,446 positions from 18,785 games were processed.
(For comparison, a previous analysis of the World Champions by Matej Guid and Ivan Bratko --
that you can read about here --
examined about 37,000 positions.)
The commercially-available program Rybka [version 2.3.2a], the strongest
chess program available at the time, and a modified version of Bob Hyatt's open-source Crafty program [version 20.14] were used in the project.
Calculating "Raw Error" and "Complexity"
The first 8 moves in each game were ignored, but each subsequent position
was searched three separate times.
First, a search for a full six minutes
(the average search was 17.4 iterations) by Crafty to
determine a score for the best move available. A second search, to the same depth as was reached in the first search, assigned a score
to the move played in the game.
The difference between the move made and the best move in the position is the "raw error" score.
Finally, a third search calculates the "complexity" score for the position.
Ranking a Player's Relative Accuracy of Play
A Complexity Table (see graph above), constructed from all the positions analyzed,
is used to level the playing field between different players.
The more complicated the position, the higher the expected raw error will be.
For example, a player encountering positions with an average complexity of 30
would be expected to produce moves that average 11 centipawns (0.11 pawn)
from the best move. If he actually produces moves that average 8 centipawns, then his score in the
"Percent Better Than the Average Grandmaster Move" column
would be 27.27 (8 divided by 11 gives 72.73%, which is 27.27% better than the average).
This should all become clear if you study the Test Case below.
Verifying the "Blunders"
Using Rybka (running by itself on a quad-core Q6600 computer) with no time limit, I examined each
position in which a "raw error" of at least 1.25 pawn occurred.
I analyzed until I could determine whether the player's move both (a) exceeded the (arbitrary) blunder-threshold for this project of 0.75 pawn
and (b) was a critical error (the move made a "won game" problematical, for example, or turned a likely draw into a possible loss).
Some blunder-candidates were examined for as long as 12 hours before a definitive classification was made.
The result of this analysis is found in the "Blunders per 1000 Moves" column.
Percent of Points Scored
A third (less-important) column is
the "Percent of Points Scored"column.
This is determined as you would expect: based on a win equaling
one point and a draw equaling a half-point.
Data Used in the Analysis
As already mentioned, the first eight moves were not computer-analyzed. I later decided, because modern players often play far more than the first
eight moves from memory, to begin the data analysis with move sixteen.
Also, I eventually decided that computer-analysis of the endgame
still leaves much to be desired, so moves beyond the 40th are not included.
In addition, a position is excluded from the data analysis if the position is rated as
(a) worse than -2.00 pawns
(because a losing player is apt to try inferior, desperate moves that would skew the analysis)
or (b) better than 4.00 pawns, unless a blunder
(as defined above) occurs.
For a more complete description of the project, click
here.
Complexity Scores
You can see the complexity scores for the champions
here.
A Test Case
To see if this approach makes sense, let's analyze the 5 matches that Garry Kasparov and Anatoly Karpov contested from 1984 through 1990.
This should be a difficult test case because: (1) Kasparov has the highest "complexity" rating among modern chessplayers and
Karpov has the lowest. (2) Therefore, Kasparov's "raw error" scores will be higher.
The question is: Does the "complexity table" correctly adjust
the results so that we can conclude that Kasparov and Karpov played to a virtual standoff (over 144 games, Kasparov eked out a 73-71 edge)?
First, let's analyze all the games and see if the analysis indicates
an extremely close match:
Kasparov-Karpov Matches, All 144 Games
| PLAYER |
NUMBER OF GAMES |
NUMBER OF MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16-40) |
PERCENT OF TOTAL POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
AVERAGE COMPLEXITY PER POSITION |
AVERAGE RAW ERROR SCORE |
AVERAGE GRANDMASTER SCORE (FROM COMPLEXITY TABLE) |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRANDMASTER MOVE |
| KASPAROV |
144 |
2450 |
50.69 |
7.61 |
25.88 |
9.05 |
10.47 |
13.56 |
| KARPOV |
144 |
2429 |
49.31 |
7.30 |
16.98 |
8.33 |
9.40 |
11.38 |
Indeed, there's not a lot of difference between the two players when we look at the numbers that are in boldface.
Kasparov's move selection (the Percent Better Than the Average Grandmaster Move column) is better (by 2.18 percentage points).
But applying the rule-of-thumb that 1 blunder = 3.5 percentage points, Karpov's lower Blunder Rate reduces Kasparov's margin by 1.09 points,
leaving Kasparov with a razor-thin edge of 1.09 points.
Now let's look at only the decisive games in the match:
Kasparov-Karpov Matches, Decisive Games Only
| PLAYER |
NUMBER OF GAMES |
NUMBER OF MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16-40) |
PERCENT OF TOTAL POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
AVERAGE COMPLEXITY PER POSITION |
AVERAGE RAW ERROR SCORE |
AVERAGE GRANDMASTER SCORE (FROM COMPLEXITY TABLE) |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRANDMASTER MOVE |
| KASPAROV |
40 |
830 |
50.69 |
11.45 |
31.26 |
10.50 |
11.18 |
6.08 |
| KARPOV |
40 |
809 |
49.31 |
9.56 |
20.96 |
10.29 |
9.82 |
-4.79 |
Once again, I would judge that the statistics indicate a very close competition with a very slight edge for Kasparov.
Kasparov's move selection is about 11% better than Karpov's, enough to offset Karpov's superior blunder rate.
The rule-of-thumb that 1 blunder = 3.5 percentage points yields a result (10.87 - (1.89 * 3.5)) of 4.25 points, enough to rate
Kasparov slightly better than Karpov in the five matches.
Examine the "raw" data
You will be able to sort it various ways, but WARNING! there is a lot of data to examine.
The unsummarized data is available here.
You can see essentially the same data (with "raw error" scores rather than complexity-adjusted scores) by going
here.
Summarized Statistical Rankings
If you prefer to look at the rankings with draws included,
then click here.
Ranking of Champions Based on Best Year   [ Excluding Draws ]
A one-year period of games represents too small a sample upon which to make a judgment -- interesting, but not very meaningful.
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
YEAR |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 10) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| 1 |
FISCHER |
1968 |
25 |
504 |
19 |
86.54 |
0.00 |
40.45 |
| 2 |
ANAND |
2006 |
36 |
780 |
18 |
62.82 |
0.00 |
31.36 |
| TIED-3 |
SMYSLOV |
1976 |
55 |
837 |
20 |
57.94 |
0.00 |
21.62 |
| TIED-3 |
KRAMNIK |
1992 |
17 |
1197 |
38 |
72.08 |
0.00 |
21.20 |
| TIED-5 |
SPASSKY |
1980 |
43 |
678 |
16 |
60.00 |
0.00 |
17.86 |
| TIED-5 |
BOTVINNIK |
1945 |
33 |
428 |
16 |
90.00 |
0.00 |
17.27 |
| TIED-5 |
EUWE |
1925 |
24 |
492 |
23 |
85.00 |
0.00 |
16.98 |
| TIED-5 |
CAPABLANCA |
1915 |
26 |
302 |
12 |
92.86 |
0.00 |
16.41 |
| TIED-5 |
PETROSIAN |
1973 |
44 |
796 |
20 |
63.33 |
2.36 |
26.39 |
| 10 |
KASPAROV |
2001 |
38 |
790 |
18 |
71.43 |
0.00 |
14.95 |
| 11 |
KARPOV |
1974 |
23 |
1128 |
23 |
64.91 |
2.15 |
16.59 |
| 12 |
TAL |
1960 |
23 |
875 |
26 |
70.83 |
3.95 |
21.68 |
| 13 |
ALEKHINE |
1930 |
37 |
458 |
22 |
95.83 |
2.34 |
13.36 |
| 14 |
LASKER |
1909 |
40 |
682 |
27 |
76.56 |
1.76 |
5.37 |
| 15 |
MORPHY |
1858 |
21 |
617 |
28 |
71.21 |
5.93 |
1.52 |
| 16 |
STEINITZ |
1894 |
58 |
570 |
24 |
53.45 |
17.13 |
-16.04 |
Ranking of Champions Based on Best 2-Year Period   [ Excluding Draws ]
A two-year period of data is still a very small sample for the purpose of selecting the world's greatest chess player.
However, perhaps you have noticed that Anand reached his peak strength just as he became World Champion in 2007.
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
2-YEAR PERIOD ENDING |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 20) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| 1 |
FISCHER |
1969 |
26 |
524 |
20 |
87.04 |
0.00 |
37.27 |
| 2 |
ANAND |
2007 |
37 |
1615 |
34 |
61.49 |
0.00 |
23.35 |
| 3 |
KRAMNIK |
2000 |
25 |
1553 |
24 |
59.71 |
1.90 |
27.43 |
| 4 |
BOTVINNIK |
1932 |
20 |
564 |
23 |
83.93 |
0.00 |
17.78 |
| 5 |
KASPAROV |
2001 |
38 |
1708 |
34 |
66.48 |
1.42 |
20.02 |
| TIED-6 |
SMYSLOV |
1976 |
55 |
1367 |
33 |
59.69 |
1.62 |
19.60 |
| TIED-6 |
CAPABLANCA |
1916 |
27 |
669 |
25 |
87.10 |
3.58 |
26.11 |
| 8 |
PETROSIAN |
1973 |
44 |
1734 |
47 |
65.85 |
2.09 |
16.66 |
| TIED-9 |
SPASSKY |
1986 |
49 |
1904 |
51 |
60.61 |
5.80 |
22.07 |
| TIED-9 |
KARPOV |
1984 |
33 |
1745 |
40 |
63.12 |
2.28 |
10.75 |
| TIED-9 |
TAL |
1987 |
50 |
953 |
31 |
63.22 |
6.94 |
25.08 |
| TIED-9 |
ALEKHINE |
1921 |
28 |
657 |
25 |
76.25 |
6.99 |
24.39 |
| 13 |
LASKER |
1910 |
41 |
1140 |
37 |
73.59 |
3.92 |
10.55 |
| 14 |
EUWE |
1934 |
33 |
710 |
26 |
75.00 |
8.10 |
20.87 |
| 15 |
MORPHY |
1859 |
22 |
711 |
35 |
75.61 |
5.09 |
-2.98 |
| 16 |
STEINITZ |
1873 |
37 |
669 |
30 |
80.77 |
16.07 |
13.94 |
Ranking of Champions Based on Best 3-Year Period   [ Excluding Draws ]
An argument can be made that three years of data is enough to identify that player, who at his peak, was the best.
(Notice that I've made two entries for Capablanca -- the one marked as *TIED-2* from 1917 is superior to the entry for 1916, but the 1917 entry
is based on only 25 decisive games. Because Lasker and Capablanca played in an era with far fewer tournament opportunities, I thought it fair
to include extra entries for them.)
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
3-YEAR PERIOD ENDING |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 30) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| 1 |
FISCHER |
1970 |
27 |
2046 |
70 |
82.00 |
1.47 |
25.45 |
| TIED-2 |
BOTVINNIK |
1932 |
20 |
894 |
36 |
84.09 |
0.00 |
14.39 |
| TIED-2 |
KASPAROV |
2001 |
38 |
2370 |
55 |
69.29 |
1.70 |
18.35 |
| *TIED-2* |
CAPABLANCA |
1917 |
28 |
669 |
25 |
87.10 |
3.58 |
26.11 |
| TIED-4 |
CAPABLANCA |
1916 |
27 |
1160 |
42 |
82.14 |
4.52 |
20.70 |
| TIED-4 |
KRAMNIK |
2000 |
25 |
2405 |
45 |
58.65 |
2.19 |
18.45 |
| TIED-4 |
ANAND |
2007 |
37 |
2585 |
53 |
60.36 |
2.61 |
15.91 |
| TIED-4 |
KARPOV |
1976 |
25 |
2967 |
70 |
67.26 |
5.29 |
18.93 |
| TIED-4 |
LASKER |
1911 |
42 |
1140 |
37 |
73.59 |
3.92 |
10.55 |
| 9 |
EUWE |
1934 |
33 |
1298 |
42 |
70.00 |
6.59 |
21.05 |
| 10 |
SPASSKY |
1964 |
27 |
3114 |
92 |
70.34 |
6.16 |
17.66 |
| TIED-11 |
ALEKHINE |
1931 |
38 |
1905 |
72 |
79.41 |
4.24 |
9.42 |
| TIED-11 |
PETROSIAN |
1962 |
33 |
2977 |
104 |
74.47 |
5.70 |
14.25 |
| TIED-11 |
SMYSLOV |
1955 |
34 |
2503 |
71 |
65.67 |
8.00 |
16.93 |
| 14 |
TAL |
1974 |
37 |
3891 |
134 |
70.24 |
9.12 |
18.74 |
| 15 |
MORPHY |
1859 |
22 |
1002 |
50 |
78.81 |
8.49 |
0.34 |
| 16 |
STEINITZ |
1873 |
37 |
669 |
30 |
80.77 |
16.07 |
13.94 |
Ranking of Champions Based on Best 5-Year Period   [ Excluding Draws ]
I think we can safely conclude that the greatest short-term chess peak was Fischer's run-up to, and victory at, the 1972 match against Spassky.
(Notice I have made extra entries for Capablanca (marked as *TIED-2*) and Lasker (*TIED-6*)).
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
5-YEAR PERIOD ENDING |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 50) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| 1 |
FISCHER |
1972 |
29 |
2968 |
97 |
80.14 |
2.54 |
26.24 |
| 2 |
KASPAROV |
2002 |
39 |
3067 |
68 |
68.68 |
2.08 |
17.60 |
| *TIED-2* |
CAPABLANCA |
1919 |
30 |
1149 |
44 |
88.89 |
3.20 |
19.57 |
| 3 |
CAPABLANCA |
1918 |
29 |
1439 |
51 |
83.09 |
3.67 |
18.40 |
| 4 |
BOTVINNIK |
1934 |
22 |
1482 |
57 |
74.38 |
2.79 |
12.25 |
| 5 |
KRAMNIK |
2001 |
26 |
4084 |
85 |
60.74 |
6.30 |
25.16 |
| 6 |
KARPOV |
1978 |
27 |
5057 |
126 |
67.63 |
4.76 |
13.45 |
| *TIED-6* |
LASKER |
1913 |
44 |
1140 |
37 |
73.59 |
3.92 |
10.55 |
| TIED-7 |
ALEKHINE |
1931 |
38 |
3191 |
96 |
71.51 |
4.79 |
9.22 |
| TIED-7 |
ANAND |
2007 |
37 |
4010 |
93 |
62.34 |
5.88 |
13.89 |
| TIED-9 |
PETROSIAN |
1962 |
33 |
4845 |
149 |
70.90 |
5.52 |
11.82 |
| TIED-9 |
SPASSKY |
1966 |
29 |
5505 |
146 |
66.30 |
6.25 |
14.70 |
| 11 |
SMYSLOV |
1957 |
36 |
3897 |
106 |
65.09 |
6.58 |
11.20 |
| TIED-12 |
LASKER |
1911 |
42 |
1817 |
56 |
72.62 |
6.02 |
7.19 |
| TIED-12 |
EUWE |
1934 |
33 |
2083 |
66 |
66.67 |
9.07 |
18.56 |
| TIED-12 |
TAL |
1978 |
41 |
4914 |
147 |
64.26 |
8.54 |
15.23 |
| 15 |
STEINITZ |
1886 |
50 |
2091 |
82 |
68.52 |
21.06 |
-8.15 |
Ranking of Champions Based on Best 10-Year Period   [ Excluding Draws ]
You might consider a ten-year period useful for selecting the greatest chessplayer of all time.
If so, then Fischer's play from 1963 through 1972 has never been equalled.
(Again, notice the extra entries for Capablanca and Lasker, both marked by asterisks in the "Ranking" column.)
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
10-YEAR PERIOD ENDING |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 100) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| 1 |
FISCHER |
1972 |
29 |
5484 |
195 |
79.78 |
4.14 |
23.02 |
| *2* |
CAPABLANCA |
1924 |
35 |
2063 |
70 |
82.04 |
2.62 |
13.03 |
| TIED-2 |
KASPAROV |
2005 |
42 |
5591 |
129 |
67.56 |
4.51 |
13.23 |
| TIED-2 |
KRAMNIK |
2004 |
29 |
7678 |
170 |
60.37 |
5.50 |
18.76 |
| TIED-4 |
CAPABLANCA |
1930 |
41 |
4167 |
120 |
69.92 |
6.27 |
15.46 |
| TIED-4 |
BOTVINNIK |
1945 |
33 |
3459 |
101 |
71.80 |
3.80 |
5.66 |
| TIED-4 |
SMYSLOV |
1969 |
48 |
9736 |
283 |
69.59 |
5.30 |
11.65 |
| TIED-4 |
KARPOV |
1983 |
32 |
9877 |
254 |
66.76 |
5.07 |
10.11 |
| *8* |
LASKER |
1918 |
49 |
1774 |
56 |
75.30 |
5.21 |
9.12 |
| 8 |
SPASSKY |
1971 |
34 |
9650 |
263 |
66.50 |
7.36 |
11.71 |
| 9 |
PETROSIAN |
1967 |
38 |
8902 |
251 |
67.50 |
7.40 |
10.00 |
| 10 |
ALEKHINE |
1930 |
37 |
6558 |
219 |
72.74 |
7.54 |
8.57 |
| TIED-11 |
ANAND |
2007 |
37 |
7611 |
178 |
61.55 |
8.38 |
10.29 |
| TIED-11 |
LASKER |
1899 |
30 |
3412 |
126 |
75.00 |
6.85 |
2.62 |
| 13 |
TAL |
1979 |
42 |
10736 |
340 |
65.95 |
10.10 |
12.63 |
| 14 |
EUWE |
1934 |
33 |
5361 |
183 |
69.77 |
10.76 |
8.56 |
| 15 |
STEINITZ |
1873 |
37 |
2225 |
110 |
73.53 |
22.52 |
-6.49 |
Ranking of Champions Based on Best 15-Year Period   [ Excluding Draws ]
Surprise! Fischer does not top this table (because his best 15-year period includes the teenage years before 1960 when he was not yet a super-Grandmaster).
Kasparov's best 15-year period fares a little poorly because of his relatively high "blunder" rate.
Capablanca's appearance on top is well-earned, of course, but Smyslov's 2nd-place ranking is unexpected.
The players who share third with Fischer and Kasparov -- Botvinnik, Karpov, and Kramnik -- were also great champions.
(Notice the extra *1* entry for Capablanca and the *8* entry for Lasker, both based on less than the "minimum" of 150 decisive games.)
| RANKING |
PLAYER |
15-YEAR PERIOD ENDING |
AGE |
TOTAL MOVES ANALYZED (MOVES 16 - 40) |
NUMBER OF DECISIVE GAMES (MINIMUM = 150) |
PERCENT OF POINTS SCORED |
BLUNDERS PER 1000 MOVES |
PERCENT BETTER THAN THE AVERAGE GRAND- MASTER MOVE |
| *1* |
CAPABLANCA |
1924 |
35 |
3081 |
107 |
80.65 |
4.39 |
13.99 |
| 1 |
CAPABLANCA |
1929 |
40 |
5136 |
158 |
73.49 |
5.32 |
15.83 |
| 2 |
SMYSLOV |
1976 |
55 |
13638 |
395 |
66.33 |
4.03 |
9.72 |
| TIED-3 |
KARPOV |
1990 |
39 |
16048 |
392 |
64.43 |
5.07 |
9.28 |
| TIED-3 |
FISCHER |
1972 |
29 |
10964 |
371 |
71.95 |
6.71 |
14.63 |
| TIED-3 |
BOTVINNIK |
1945 |
33 |
5048 |
158 |
71.54 |
4.45 |
5.83 |
| TIED-3 |
KASPAROV |
2005 |
42 |
9691 |
242 |
67.77 |
7.66 |
16.67 |
| TIED-3 |
KRAMNIK |
2006 |
31 |
13057 |
321 |
61.55 |
7.33 |
14.85 |
| *8* |
LASKER |
1923 |
54 |
2254 |
68 |
70.91 |
6.34 |
8.42 |
| 8 |
PETROSIAN |
1973 |
44 |
13308 |
367 |
65.25 |
7.31 |
10.41 |
| 9 |
SPASSKY |
1975 |
38 |
13548 |
372 |
65.03 |
8.37 |
11.80 |
| TIED-10 |
ANAND |
2007 |
37 |
12297 |
305 |
61.87 |
8.90 |
9.99 |
| TIED-10 |
ALEKHINE |
1934 |
41 |
9960 |
336 |
74.39 |
6.23 |
4.15 |
| TIED-10 |
TAL |
1988 |
51 |
13287 |
385 |
61.76 |
10.15 |
13.68 |
| 13 |
LASKER |
1904 |
35 |
4095 |
153 |
75.88 |
8.27 |
3.63 |
| 14 |
EUWE |
1952 |
51 |
7533 |
264 |
67.14 |
11.11 |
10.11 |
| 15 |
STEINITZ |
1894 |
58 |
3734 |
154 |
63.50 |
21.93 |
-10.84 |
Who Was "The Greatest"?
Here is the short case for -- and against -- each champion:
Paul Morphy (born 1837, died 1884)
Although not usually recognized as World Champion, Morphy belongs on this list.
- Pro: Morphy was clearly way ahead of his time:
the numbers indicate he would easily have beaten Steinitz. Had he kept playing,
Morphy surely would have been the strongest player in the world from 1857 until his death at age 47 -- a span of 27 years.
Had he lived, he might have been the best player until the beginning of the 20th century!
- Con: Judged by today's standards, Morphy's accuracy was just average.
Also, his career in top-flight chess lasted only 3 years.
Wilhelm Steinitz (born 1836, died 1900)
Steinitz was universally acknowledged to be the first World Champion after defeating Zukertort in 1886.
- Pro: Steinitz had a complex style, won a high percentage of games, was successful as a match player,
and was probably the best active player for about 20 years (although he was "official" Champion for only 8 years).
- Con: Most of Steinitz's numbers place him at the bottom -- nobody else is even close!
Emanuel Lasker (born 1868, died 1941)
Lasker was World Champion for a record 27 years.
- Pro: Although Lasker played in an era which had relatively few great players, it is still remarkable
that he was one of the very top competitors for more than 40 years (he won the strong New York tournament of 1924 by 1½ points over
World Champion Capablanca)! According to the numbers, Lasker is the first chessplayer who could have held his own against the great champions of history.
- Con: Lasker was absent for years at a time from competition, so it is difficult to get a fully reliable fix on his ability.
José Raúl Capablanca (born 1888, died 1942)
Capablanca awed all those who saw him because of his extremely rapid comprehension of the position on the board.
Lasker famously said, "I have known many chess players, but only one chess genius, Capablanca."
- Pro: Capablanca's numbers are universally excellent. He played with great accuracy, committed
relatively few blunders, and won a high proportion of games.
- Con: He suffered an unexpected loss to Alekhine in 1927.
Alexander Alekhine (born 1892, died 1946)
Alekhine was not born with the Capablanca's natural talent, but he showed what
an unparalleled love of chess and a fanatical will to win can do. He played
several of the most-admired games of all time.
- Pro: He defeated the "invincible" Capablanca in 1927 and
decisively defeated the underappreciated Euwe in a match in 1937.
- Con: The numbers suggest that Alekhine was not quite as good as his reputation.
He also suffered a most surprising defeat to Euwe in 1935.
Max Euwe (born 1901, died 1981)
Euwe had a successful life away from the chessboard, which cannot be said for most World Champions.
- Pro: He convincingly defeated Alekhine in one of the biggest upsets in chess history.
The numbers say that Euwe was better than his reputation.
- Con: Euwe's reputation as a player who blundered often is, sadly, richly deserved.
Mikhail Botvinnik (born 1911, died 1995)
Botvinnik was so strong that he could have become World Champion as early as 1935.
He finally become champion in 1948 and held the title for most of the next 15 years.
- Pro: According to the numbers, Botvinnik was probably one of the five best players
of all time. In addition, his fighting spirit must have been very resilient -- after losing
matches to Smyslov and Tal, he won return matches a year later.
- Con: After winning the title in 1948, Botvinnik
became simply the first among equals and lost matches to Smyslov, Tal, and Petrosian.
Vasily Smyslov (born 1921)
One of those rare players who played almost as well in his sixties as he did in his thirties.
- Pro: A player with impressive numbers -- he ranks 2nd behind Capablanca
in the 15-Year Rankings (above). In 1984, he reached the Final of the Candidates' Matches
in his 63rd year!
- Con: There always seemed to be at least one player better (or luckier) than Smyslov:
Bronstein, Botvinnik, Tal, Fischer, Kasparov.
Mikhail Tal (born 1936, died 1992)
Beloved by most everybody, Tal deserved a better fate: he was plagued by health problems
throughout his life.
- Pro: He had a sensational rise to the top in the late 1950's and early 1960's.
He probably was an objectively better player in the 1970's.
- Con: Although he was always among the handful of great players,
he could never quite match his achievement of beating Botvinnik in 1960.
Tigran Petrosian (born 1929, died 1984)
In many ways, the anti-Tal: solid, possessor of a puzzling style, and widely
unappreciated.
- Pro: He won the Candidates in 1962 (over such great players as Keres, Geller,
Fischer, Korchnoi, and Tal), handily defeated Botvinnik in 1963,
and beat the great Spassky in 1966.
- Con: His tournament results were usually mediocre and the numbers
say he is not one of the greatest Champions.
Boris Spassky (born 1937)
World-famous because of his two matches with Fischer, Spassky
was probably the best player for most of the 1960's.
- Pro: Spassky proved his strength by winning
the Candidates' Matches in both 1965 and 1968. He also proved his
superiority in the 1966 Piatigorsky Cup where Fischer finished second.
The numbers show that Spassky was an impressive player into his mid-forties.
- Con: Spassky was not able to sustain the high level of
brilliance he evidenced in the 1960's.
Bobby Fischer (born 1943, died 2008)
Like Morphy, "The Pride and Sorrow of Chess." Fischer coupled
the precocious talent of Morphy and Capablanca with the obsession of
Alekhine.
- Pro: The sustained level of his play from 1967 through
the 1972 match with Spassky is unmatched, as the numbers show.
- Con: He quit too soon.
Anatoly Karpov (born 1951)
A steely competitor who, unlike most previous champions, was
extremely active and competed successfully against the very best
players of his time.
- Pro: The numbers and the results show that Karpov was the best of his time.
- Con: Karpov was not quite as good as either his
predecessor or his successor.
Garry Kasparov (born 1963)
Kasparov showed that aggression pays on the chessobard. Also,
he demonstrated the importance of the computer as a training aid.
- Pro: The numbers confirm that Kasparov was
one of the greatest players of all time.
- Con: His blunder rate (as defined by this project),
is surprisingly high. And, almost unbelievably, he lost a match to Kramnik
without managing to win a game.
Vladimir Kramnik (born 1975)
Kramnik, at his best, is one of the most difficult players to defeat
who ever played. He has had some health problems in the last few years.
- Pro: In 2000, he defeated the truly great Kasparov
(who was at or near his peak strength)
in a match by two points without losing a game.
- Con: Although he appears to have the talent to be
the dominant player of his generation, he seems content to win
by attrition. Also, perhaps because of his health issues, his
form has been inconsistent.
Vishy Anand (born 1969)
As a youth, Anand shocked the chess world with his strong moves that
were played at blitz speed. After several years of steady improvement
(and learning to curtail his impulsiveness),
he became Champion in 2007.
- Pro: Anand's numbers have been outstanding in recent
years -- his performance in 2006-2007 was almost flawless.
- Con: Anand is at the top now, but he needs to sustain
his current form for a few more years before he can be mentioned
in the same breath with Capablanca, Fischer, and Kasparov.
The Greatest Was ...
I think you can reach your own conclusion!
  And of course, it depends --
what are the necessary qualifications for the world's greatest chess player?
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